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Yes or No: pick and win.

Bet on real-world outcomes — politics, sports, crypto, world. Live odds, automatic settlement, payout in real time.

Live oddsNo extra KYCReal-time payout
My predictions Combo
200 markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Politics$731k…
14%
86%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Politics$684k…
86%
14%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

World$637k…
79%
21%

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Other$278k…
28%
72%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Politics$261k…
28%
72%

Ningbo Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Diana Shnaider

Science$226k…
20%
80%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Science$204k…
13%
87%

Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?

Politics$182k…
55%
45%

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other$179k…
19%
81%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

World$170k…
77%
23%

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other$152k…
73%
27%

Japan Women's Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Ena Shibahara

Other$152k…
86%
14%

LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Sports$147k…
39%
61%

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Politics$136k…
63%
37%

Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic

Other$134k…
70%
30%

Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks

Other$117k…
24%
76%

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Other$115k…
63%
37%

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20?

Science$101k…
41%
59%

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Other$101k…
25%
75%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

World$100k…
23%
77%

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Politics$98k…
42%
58%

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

World$97k…
17%
83%

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?

World$92k…
53%
47%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

World$91k…
38%
62%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics$86k…
15%
85%

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Politics$86k…
88%
12%

Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?

Other$86k…
70%
30%

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics$84k…
72%
28%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

World$83k…
86%
14%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?

World$81k…
43%
57%

Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

World$80k…
38%
62%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?

World$78k…
83%
17%

Florence: Michele Ribecai vs Jacopo Vasami

Science$76k…
67%
33%

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics$76k…
12%
88%

Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?

Crypto$76k…
27%
73%

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5

Crypto$74k…
43%
57%

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics$74k…
46%
54%

Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?

World$73k…
38%
62%

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Politics$69k…
65%
35%

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 20?

Crypto$67k…
42%
58%

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Politics$66k…
19%
81%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?

World$65k…
87%
13%

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-20?

Other$65k…
89%
11%

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Politics$64k…
39%
61%

Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

World$61k…
36%
64%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

World$60k…
31%
69%

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

Politics$59k…
60%
40%

Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Politics$59k…
70%
30%

Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?

World$58k…
57%
43%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Politics$58k…
27%
73%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Politics$57k…
47%
53%

Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics$56k…
21%
79%

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BIG (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

World$56k…
52%
48%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

World$54k…
43%
57%

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?

Other$53k…
68%
32%

France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?

Other$52k…
14%
86%

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Politics$52k…
50%
50%

Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Other$52k…
68%
32%

Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?

Other$51k…
31%
69%

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics$48k…
28%
72%

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

Other$48k…
17%
83%

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Politics$46k…
44%
56%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Politics$45k…
20%
80%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

World$45k…
24%
76%

Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek

Other$45k…
50%
50%

Wild vs. Oilers

Other$44k…
44%
56%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

World$44k…
56%
44%

Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)

Crypto$43k…
52%
48%

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?

Other$43k…
65%
35%

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?

Science$42k…
65%
35%

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Other$42k…
70%
30%

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs PRIVATE (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

World$41k…
59%
41%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

Politics$41k…
78%
22%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto$41k…
16%
84%

Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?

Politics$41k…
22%
78%

Guangzhou 2: Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchi

Other$39k…
45%
55%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?

Other$37k…
43%
57%

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs

World$37k…
56%
44%

Ningbo Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Belinda Bencic

Other$36k…
43%
57%

Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata

Other$35k…
48%
52%

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Politics$34k…
18%
82%

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Politics$34k…
64%
36%

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

World$33k…
67%
33%

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score

Crypto$33k…
81%
19%

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics$32k…
36%
64%

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

World$31k…
76%
24%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Politics$31k…
13%
87%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

World$31k…
41%
59%

Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?

World$31k…
17%
83%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

World$30k…
12%
88%

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?

Crypto$30k…
14%
86%

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

World$30k…
16%
84%

Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?

World$29k…
53%
47%

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Politics$29k…
36%
64%

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Politics$29k…
82%
18%

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?

World$29k…
31%
69%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

World$29k…
66%
34%

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?

Other$29k…
14%
86%

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?

Science$28k…
40%
60%

US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?

World$28k…
66%
34%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Science$28k…
75%
25%

Iran leadership change by December 31?

World$28k…
13%
87%

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?

Crypto$28k…
71%
29%

Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?

World$28k…
48%
52%

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Other$27k…
72%
28%

Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?

World$27k…
28%
72%

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?

Science$27k…
15%
85%

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto$27k…
37%
63%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

World$27k…
16%
84%

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Sports$27k…
17%
83%

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

World$26k…
16%
84%

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?

Other$26k…
47%
53%

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Crypto$26k…
64%
36%

Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?

Sports$26k…
37%
63%

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Politics$25k…
31%
69%

Celtics vs. Pistons

Other$25k…
53%
47%

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?

World$25k…
14%
86%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

Other$25k…
73%
27%

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?

Other$25k…
62%
38%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

World$25k…
46%
54%

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

World$24k…
47%
53%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

World$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?

Other$24k…
86%
14%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Politics$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

World$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
36%
64%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Other$24k…
38%
62%

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

World$23k…
23%
77%

Warriors vs. Lakers

World$23k…
35%
65%

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Politics$23k…
71%
29%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Crypto$23k…
12%
88%

Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Other$23k…
64%
36%

France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?

Other$23k…
18%
82%

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Science$23k…
39%
61%

Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crypto$22k…
16%
84%

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Sports$22k…
62%
38%

LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

World$22k…
78%
22%

Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Rare Atom (BO3) - VOID Autumn Cup Playoffs

World$22k…
50%
50%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

Sports$21k…
14%
86%

Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Politics$21k…
36%
64%

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?

World$21k…
33%
67%

Hornets vs. Nets

Other$21k…
47%
53%

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

Other$21k…
62%
38%

Spread: Steelers (-2.5)

Science$21k…
59%
41%

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Politics$20k…
37%
63%

Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Politics$20k…
34%
66%

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?

Politics$20k…
66%
34%

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?

World$20k…
11%
89%

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Politics$20k…
89%
11%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Politics$20k…
20%
80%

Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5

Other$19k…
48%
52%

Florence: Henry Searle vs Massimo Giunta

World$19k…
35%
65%

Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-10-20?

Other$19k…
62%
38%

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?

Politics$19k…
18%
82%

Hurricanes vs. Canucks

Other$19k…
74%
26%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Politics$18k…
65%
35%

Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Politics$18k…
70%
30%

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?

Other$18k…
40%
60%

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?

Other$18k…
14%
86%

European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Clement Chidekh

Other$18k…
57%
43%

Spread: Texans (-9.5)

Other$18k…
51%
49%

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

World$18k…
69%
31%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Politics$18k…
34%
66%

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?

Other$17k…
32%
68%

Ningbo Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Polina Kudermetova

Politics$17k…
53%
47%

Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?

Politics$17k…
31%
69%

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Crypto$17k…
21%
79%

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Other$17k…
74%
26%

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Other$17k…
14%
86%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?

World$16k…
62%
38%

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?

Other$16k…
59%
41%

Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5

Crypto$16k…
43%
57%

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto$16k…
22%
78%

US imports Russian diesel by November 30?

World$16k…
29%
71%

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Politics$16k…
37%
63%

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

Other$16k…
76%
24%

Seoul Knights vs. Anyang

Other$16k…
46%
54%

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?

Other$15k…
23%
77%

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Crypto$15k…
25%
75%

Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?

Politics$15k…
12%
88%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Science$14k…
24%
76%

Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Other$14k…
20%
80%

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?

Other$14k…
82%
18%

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics$14k…
15%
85%

Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 4.5

Crypto$14k…
37%
63%

Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Infinite (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

World$14k…
75%
25%

Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?

World$14k…
48%
52%