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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 11h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
13%
Yes
87%
No
24h vol
$189k
Liquidity
$584k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×7.20
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)
No×1.03
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Yes if U.S. launches military offensive to control any portion of Iran by Dec 31, 2026.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 7.20
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance