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EntertainmentEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will Toy Story 5 be the top-grossing film of 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
20%
Yes
80%
No
24h vol
$12k
Liquidity
$6.3M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.42
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 44.23 (profit € 34.23)
No×1.13
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.30 (profit € 1.30)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if Toy Story 5 has the highest 2026 domestic US gross on Box Office Mojo by Dec 31; in exact tie, alphabetically first title wins; alternative source if data unavailable by Jan 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Potential payoutOdds 4.42
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance