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PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will the Fed's upper bound reach 4.25% or higher by December 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
22%
Yes
78%
No
24h vol
$8.3k
Liquidity
$16k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.19
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 41.86 (profit € 31.86)
No×1.15
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.46 (profit € 1.46)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if the upper bound of the Federal funds target rate reaches 4.25% or higher at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Includes regular and emergency FOMC decisions.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 4.19
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance