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Will OpenAI complete an IPO by December 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
49%
Yes
51%
No
24h vol
$4.4k
Liquidity
$7.2k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.84
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 18.37 (profit € 8.37)
No×1.76
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 17.65 (profit € 7.65)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves YES if OpenAI completes its first stock offering to the public on a recognized exchange by December 31, 2026, confirmed by official announcements and credible news; acquisition by public company = NO.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.84
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance