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OtherEnds Jul 31, 20269d 8h
Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
14%
Yes
86%
No
24h vol
$105k
Liquidity
$98k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×6.67
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 66.67 (profit € 56.67)
No×1.04
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.40 (profit € 0.40)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if Israel officially announces complete withdrawal of all ground forces from Lebanese territory by Jul 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements of future withdrawal or plans don't count. Shebaa Farms considered Israeli territory.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Potential payoutOdds 6.67
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance