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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will a Tesla and SpaceX merger be officially announced by December 31?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
33%
Yes
67%
No
24h vol
$1.4k
Liquidity
$14k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.73
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 27.27 (profit € 17.27)
No×1.34
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 13.43 (profit € 3.43)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if official announcement of Tesla-SpaceX acquisition/merger by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET; Announcement alone counts regardless of completion timing; Controlling-interest sales qualify; NO otherwise.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 2.73
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance