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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026210d 3h

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
13%
Yes
87%
No
24h vol
$35k
Liquidity
$368k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×7.20

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)

No×1.03

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves Yes if Iran's Islamic Republic core structures are dissolved or lose de facto control by Dec 31, 2026.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 7.20
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance