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PoliticsEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Do the U.S. and India agree to a new trade deal before 2027?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
30%
Yes
70%
No
24h vol
$1.2k
Liquidity
$115k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×3.00
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 30.00 (profit € 20.00)
No×1.29
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.86 (profit € 2.86)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if a free trade agreement with India becomes law in the U.S. by Dec 31, 2026 (Senate ratification or Congressional-Executive Agreement). Credible news sources determine resolution.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 3.00
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance