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Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
37%
Yes
63%
No
24h vol
$3.9k
Liquidity
$2.5M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.47
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 24.66 (profit € 14.66)
No×1.42
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 14.17 (profit € 4.17)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if USA officially qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. NO if mathematically eliminated or tournament cancelled/postponed after Jul 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 2.47
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance