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Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
59%
Yes
41%
No
24h vol
$8.4k
Liquidity
$2.0M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.52
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 15.25 (profit € 5.25)
No×2.19
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 21.95 (profit € 11.95)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if Argentina officially advances to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals per FIFA; NO if mathematically eliminated; NO if World Cup cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or Quarterfinals not declared by that date.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.52
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance