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ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20269d 9h
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
82%
Yes
18%
No
24h vol
$3.2k
Liquidity
$380k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.10
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 10.98 (profit € 0.98)
No×5.00
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 50.00 (profit € 40.00)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves to the company owning the model with the highest rank on Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (lmarena.ai) on Jul 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET; ties broken by Arena score.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 1.10
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance