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WorldEnds Aug 1, 202610d 13h

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S.-Iran deal by July 31, 2026?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
38%
Yes
62%
No
24h vol
$17k
Liquidity
$190k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×2.37

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 23.68 (profit € 13.68)

No×1.45

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 14.52 (profit € 4.52)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

YES if Shehbaz Sharif signs a written agreement in official capacity to which both the U.S. and Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 2.37
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance