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WorldEnds Jul 31, 20269d 11h
Permanent peace deal between Israel and Iran by July 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
20%
Yes
80%
No
24h vol
$47k
Liquidity
$121k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.62
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 46.15 (profit € 36.15)
No×1.12
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.18 (profit € 1.18)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if an official agreement declaring permanent end to military hostilities is in force by 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026. NO if temporary or no deal.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 4.62
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance