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WorldEnds Jul 31, 20269d 9h
Will a permanent peace deal between Israel and Hezbollah be reached by July 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
34%
Yes
66%
No
24h vol
$28k
Liquidity
$133k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.69
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 26.87 (profit € 16.87)
No×1.35
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 13.53 (profit € 3.53)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if a deal explicitly ending military hostilities permanently is signed by 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026; NO otherwise.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Potential payoutOdds 2.69
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance