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WorldEnds Aug 1, 202610d 12h
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S.-Iran deal by July 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
27%
Yes
73%
No
24h vol
$40k
Liquidity
$61k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×3.33
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 33.33 (profit € 23.33)
No×1.23
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.33 (profit € 2.33)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves 'Yes' if Ghalibaf signs a written agreement between the US and Iran by 11:59 PM ET on July 31, 2026; otherwise 'No'.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Potential payoutOdds 3.33
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance