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ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20269d 11h
Will Israel close its airspace by July 31?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
18%
Yes
82%
No
24h vol
$38k
Liquidity
$117k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×5.14
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 51.43 (profit € 41.43)
No×1.09
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.91 (profit € 0.91)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if Israel imposes a major closure of its civilian airspace (covering most of its territory) by 11:59 PM ET on Jul 31, 2026; partial or limited closures do not count.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 5.14
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance