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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 11h
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
28%
Yes
72%
No
24h vol
$4.2k
Liquidity
$28k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×3.27
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 32.73 (profit € 22.73)
No×1.24
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.41 (profit € 2.41)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if the ISW map shows the entire Lyman municipality (Donetsk) shaded red (Russian control) by 11:59 PM ET on Dec 31, 2026; shading must persist at resolution date. NO otherwise.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 3.27
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance