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Politics
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
22%
Yes
78%
No
24h vol
$1.4k
Liquidity
$76k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.19
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 41.86 (profit € 31.86)
No×1.15
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.46 (profit € 1.46)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves YES if the percentage difference of valid votes between 1st and 2nd place is between 6% and 9% inclusive. Otherwise NO.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 4.19
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance