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PoliticsEnds Oct 29, 2026…

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
86%
Yes
14%
No
24h vol
$813k
Liquidity
$3.0M
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×1.05

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 10.53 (profit € 0.53)

No×6.21

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 62.07 (profit € 52.07)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 1.05
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance