All markets
WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will Iran's leadership change by December 31?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
17%
Yes
83%
No
24h vol
$6.9k
Liquidity
$102k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×5.46
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 54.55 (profit € 44.55)
No×1.08
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.78 (profit € 0.78)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei ceases to be Iran's de facto leader before Dec 31, 2026.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
Place bet
Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 5.46
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance