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OtherEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will there be a military clash between the US and Cuba by December 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
51%
Yes
49%
No
24h vol
$1.9k
Liquidity
$110k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.76
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 17.65 (profit € 7.65)
No×1.84
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 18.37 (profit € 8.37)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if direct military engagement (gunfire, artillery, missile strikes) occurs between US and Cuban military forces by Dec 31, 2026; NO otherwise. Non-violent actions (warning shots, fire in uninhabited areas) do not count.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.76
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance