24
All markets
OtherEnds Jun 30, 202644d 12h

Will Keir Starmer stop being Prime Minister by May 31, 2026?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
35%
Yes
65%
No
24h vol
$277k
Liquidity
$180k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×2.58

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 25.75 (profit € 15.75)

No×1.38

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 13.84 (profit € 3.84)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves YES if Keir Starmer ceases to be UK PM at any point by May 31, 2026 (even if transition occurs later). An official announcement of resignation/removal before deadline immediately resolves YES.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 2.58
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance