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PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202674d 11h
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
51%
Yes
49%
No
24h vol
$17k
Liquidity
$2.0M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.78
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 17.82 (profit € 7.82)
No×1.82
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 18.18 (profit € 8.18)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves based on winner of Brazilian presidential election on October 4, 2026.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.78
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance