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ScienceEnds Jul 31, 20269d 11h
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by July 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
55%
Yes
45%
No
24h vol
$143k
Liquidity
$218k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.65
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 16.51 (profit € 6.51)
No×1.98
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 19.78 (profit € 9.78)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Yes if IMF Portwatch publishes 7-day moving average of transit calls ≥ 60 by July 31, 2026; otherwise NO. Includes container, bulk, ro-ro, general cargo, and tanker vessels.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.65
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance