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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will there be a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
34%
Yes
66%
No
24h vol
$17k
Liquidity
$138k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.69
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 26.87 (profit € 16.87)
No×1.35
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 13.53 (profit € 3.53)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if mutually-agreed ceasefire (direct military suspension) officially announced or confirmed by credible sources by 11:59 PM ET Oct 31, 2026; includes peace deals/humanitarian truces with such suspension; NO otherwise.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Potential payoutOdds 2.69
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance