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PoliticsEnds Dec 9, 2026140d 9h
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be 4.25% at end of 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
13%
Yes
87%
No
24h vol
$2.1k
Liquidity
$68k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×6.84
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 68.44 (profit € 58.44)
No×1.04
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.36 (profit € 0.36)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves based on the upper bound of the federal funds range set by FOMC in December 2026.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 6.84
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance