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OtherEnds May 19, 20262d 10h
Will Starmer cease to be PM by May 19, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
16%
Yes
84%
No
24h vol
$320k
Liquidity
$158k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×5.71
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 57.14 (profit € 47.14)
No×1.07
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.68 (profit € 0.68)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if Keir Starmer ceases to be UK Prime Minister any time before 11:59 PM ET on May 19, 2026 (including announced resignations before that date). Source: UK government and credible media consensus.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 5.71
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance