All markets
PoliticsEnds Dec 9, 2026140d 9h
Will the Fed raise rates by the October 2026 meeting?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
39%
Yes
61%
No
24h vol
$4.0k
Liquidity
$39k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.34
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 23.38 (profit € 13.38)
No×1.46
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 14.63 (profit € 4.63)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if the upper bound of the fed funds target rate increases between Dec 16, 2025 and the completion of the October 2026 FOMC meeting (including hikes announced at that meeting). If the meeting is delayed >7 days from schedule and no hike announced, resolves NO. Emergency hikes count.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
Place bet
Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 2.34
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance