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PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202674d 15h

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
54%
Yes
46%
No
24h vol
$1.1k
Liquidity
$314k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×1.67

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 16.67 (profit € 6.67)

No×1.96

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 19.57 (profit € 9.57)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Yes if Jerônimo Rodrigues wins the official Bahia gubernatorial election on Oct 4, 2026 (runoff Oct 25 if needed). Interim governors appointed before that date do not count. If unknown by Jun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET: Other.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 1.67
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance