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Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
88%
Yes
12%
No
24h vol
$147k
Liquidity
$59k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×1.03
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)
No×7.20
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves YES if Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield by-election in 2026; resolves Other if results are not officially known by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 1.03
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance