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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will there be a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
33%
Yes
67%
No
24h vol
$2.2k
Liquidity
$130k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.77
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 27.69 (profit € 17.69)
No×1.33
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 13.33 (profit € 3.33)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves YES if a mutually agreed ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine takes effect by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EET and remains continuous for ≥10 calendar days; source: official announcements or credible consensus.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 2.77
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance