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Politics

Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
13%
Yes
87%
No
24h vol
$182k
Liquidity
$176k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×7.20

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 72.00 (profit € 62.00)

No×1.03

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.29 (profit € 0.29)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Yes = Robert Kenyon wins the Makerfield by-election. Resolves by official results by Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If unclear, resolves to Other.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 7.20
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance