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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 11h
Will a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire be in effect by October 31, 2026?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
23%
Yes
77%
No
24h vol
$12k
Liquidity
$94k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.00
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 40.00 (profit € 30.00)
No×1.16
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.61 (profit € 1.61)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
YES if a mutually agreed ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine is officially announced/confirmed and remains continuously in effect for ≥10 calendar days by Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EET.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 4.00
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance