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PoliticsEnds Nov 7, 2028839d 11h

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
24%
Yes
76%
No
24h vol
$18k
Liquidity
$15.9M
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×3.70

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 36.96 (profit € 26.96)

No×1.19

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.90 (profit € 1.90)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves "Yes" if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 3.70
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance