24
All markets
OtherEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 21h

Will Keir Starmer cease to be Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
87%
Yes
13%
No
24h vol
$30k
Liquidity
$134k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×1.03

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 10.34 (profit € 0.34)

No×6.92

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 69.23 (profit € 59.23)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Market resolves Yes if Starmer ceases to be PM between Nov 5, 2025 and Dec 31, 2026, otherwise No.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 1.03
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance