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PoliticsEnds Sep 16, 202656d 8h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
38%
Yes
62%
No
24h vol
$25k
Liquidity
$1.3M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×2.37
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 23.68 (profit € 13.68)
No×1.45
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 14.52 (profit € 4.52)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves based on the actual change (in bps) to the upper bound of the target federal funds rate set by FOMC after the September 2026 meeting. Non-standard changes are rounded up to the nearest 25 bps bracket.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 2.37
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance