24
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WorldEnds Jun 30, 202644d 0h

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal by end of June 2026?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
28%
Yes
72%
No
24h vol
$283k
Liquidity
$252k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×3.16

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 31.58 (profit € 21.58)

No×1.26

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.59 (profit € 2.59)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves Yes if IMF Portwatch reports a 7-day moving average of ≥60 transits through June 30, 2026.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 3.16
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance