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PoliticsEnds Jul 29, 20267d 13h
Will the Fed increase rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
20%
Yes
80%
No
24h vol
$325k
Liquidity
$21.9M
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×4.62
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 46.15 (profit € 36.15)
No×1.12
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 11.18 (profit € 1.18)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves based on basis point change to upper bound of target federal funds rate from July 2026 FOMC meeting.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 4.62
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance