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WorldEnds Dec 31, 2027527d 9h
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
14%
Yes
86%
No
24h vol
$4.3k
Liquidity
$211k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×6.21
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 62.07 (profit € 52.07)
No×1.05
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.53 (profit € 0.53)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves "Yes" if China launches military offensive to control any Taiwan territory by Dec 31, 2027.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 6.21
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance