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PoliticsEnds Jul 29, 20267d 9h

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
80%
Yes
20%
No
24h vol
$488k
Liquidity
$1.6M
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×1.13

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 11.32 (profit € 1.32)

No×4.39

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 43.90 (profit € 33.90)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Market resolves based on basis points change to the upper bound of Fed funds rate versus pre-July 2026 FOMC meeting level.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 1.13
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance