24
All markets
PoliticsEnds Oct 4, 202674d 15h

Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
30%
Yes
70%
No
24h vol
$1.1k
Liquidity
$184k
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×3.05

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 30.51 (profit € 20.51)

No×1.28

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.77 (profit € 2.77)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves to the winner of Ceará's gubernatorial election on October 4, 2026, with runoff October 25 if needed.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
Tap to edit
Potential payoutOdds 3.05
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance