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OtherEnds Dec 31, 2026162d 9h
Will Friedrich Merz cease to be Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
18%
Yes
82%
No
24h vol
$2.1k
Liquidity
$106k
Status
Open
How winnings work
Yes×5.14
You win if the answer is YES by the deadline
With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 51.43 (profit € 41.43)
No×1.09
You win if the answer is NO by the deadline
With € 10.00 on No → payout € 10.91 (profit € 0.91)
Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles▾
Resolves Yes if Friedrich Merz ceases to be Chancellor of Germany by December 31, 2026, including announced resignation.
How it works
Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.
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Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 5.14
€ 0.00
Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance