24
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PoliticsEnds Apr 30, 2027282d 11h

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Market probabilityComputed live from the global pool
26%
Yes
74%
No
24h vol
$6.3k
Liquidity
$1.5M
Status
Open

How winnings work

Yes×3.53

You win if the answer is YES by the deadline

With € 10.00 on Yes → payout € 35.29 (profit € 25.29)

No×1.21

You win if the answer is NO by the deadline

With € 10.00 on No → payout € 12.08 (profit € 2.08)

Resolved by Polymarket via decentralized oracle (UMA) at deadline
How this market settles

Resolves 'Yes' if Bardella wins the French presidential runoff by April 30, 2027.

How it works

Pick Yes or No, choose your stake. If the event resolves as you predicted, you win at the shown odds. Payout is automatic when the event ends. The more you know, the more you win.

Place bet

Stake
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Potential payoutOdds 3.53
€ 0.00

Guaranteed payout · Instant settlement · Single balance